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Published writing

Long-form essays on causal identification, measurement, and the discipline behind decision-grade analysis.

Towards Data Science Article

Your AI adoption lift is a selection effect

Recovering the effect of an opt-in AI feature from the eligibility threshold, the one part of the rollout no customer chose.

Towards Data Science Article

When customers churn at renewal: was it the price or the project?

Separating overlapping churn drivers when promo expiry and use-case completion arrive together.

Towards Data Science Article

LLM themes are not observations

Why LLM-extracted variables carry a selection, timing, and measurement footprint the downstream model never sees.

Towards Data Science Article

LLM summarizers skip the identification step

Connecting LLM summarization failures to causal identification discipline.